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Have only girls been born for a long time in this village?


Is it possible to influence the sex of a baby by controlling the mothers' diet?Do C-Section born babies have worse immune systems?Have fewer children with Down Syndrome been born in the United States?






.everyoneloves__top-leaderboard:empty,.everyoneloves__mid-leaderboard:empty,.everyoneloves__bot-mid-leaderboard:empty margin-bottom:0;








2















German media has reported that a village in Poland has had only girls born for the last decade:




The head of the parish promises a reward, the Catholic village priest asks for God's help: In the Polish village of 300 souls, Mistitz, no boys have been born for almost ten years.




Source: "Mistitz in Polen – Dorf ohne Jungen", tagesschau Stand: 17.08.2019 11:43



How is that possible that there are no boys born? Statistically, it seems to me to be nearly impossible. Is this real, or is it a publicity gag or something else?



English media has also reported on the village: "Girls only: Tiny Polish village of 300 people waits for first birth of a boy for nearly a DECADE", Daily Mail










share|improve this question









New contributor



J. Doe is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
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  • 3





    For most of us that can't understand German, could you please flesh out some details and a clear-cut verifiable claim from the article? And of course it'd be near impossible, raising suspicion, but not impossible.

    – M.A.R.
    8 hours ago






  • 2





    Is it statistically impossible? With my German, I couldn't find the number of births anywhere in the article. But the village population seems to be 300. So I'd guess at 25 kids, all female. The odds of that happening by chance in any one village is 1 in 2^25 or 1 in 33 million. But there are a couple of million villages in the world, so the odds of one somewhere with 25 consecutive female births is about 1 in 15 - and if there is one, that is the one that makes the news. Unlikely, but not impossible. And if in fact there have only been 20 births the odds are more like 1 in 2.

    – Jack B
    7 hours ago


















2















German media has reported that a village in Poland has had only girls born for the last decade:




The head of the parish promises a reward, the Catholic village priest asks for God's help: In the Polish village of 300 souls, Mistitz, no boys have been born for almost ten years.




Source: "Mistitz in Polen – Dorf ohne Jungen", tagesschau Stand: 17.08.2019 11:43



How is that possible that there are no boys born? Statistically, it seems to me to be nearly impossible. Is this real, or is it a publicity gag or something else?



English media has also reported on the village: "Girls only: Tiny Polish village of 300 people waits for first birth of a boy for nearly a DECADE", Daily Mail










share|improve this question









New contributor



J. Doe is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.
















  • 3





    For most of us that can't understand German, could you please flesh out some details and a clear-cut verifiable claim from the article? And of course it'd be near impossible, raising suspicion, but not impossible.

    – M.A.R.
    8 hours ago






  • 2





    Is it statistically impossible? With my German, I couldn't find the number of births anywhere in the article. But the village population seems to be 300. So I'd guess at 25 kids, all female. The odds of that happening by chance in any one village is 1 in 2^25 or 1 in 33 million. But there are a couple of million villages in the world, so the odds of one somewhere with 25 consecutive female births is about 1 in 15 - and if there is one, that is the one that makes the news. Unlikely, but not impossible. And if in fact there have only been 20 births the odds are more like 1 in 2.

    – Jack B
    7 hours ago














2












2








2








German media has reported that a village in Poland has had only girls born for the last decade:




The head of the parish promises a reward, the Catholic village priest asks for God's help: In the Polish village of 300 souls, Mistitz, no boys have been born for almost ten years.




Source: "Mistitz in Polen – Dorf ohne Jungen", tagesschau Stand: 17.08.2019 11:43



How is that possible that there are no boys born? Statistically, it seems to me to be nearly impossible. Is this real, or is it a publicity gag or something else?



English media has also reported on the village: "Girls only: Tiny Polish village of 300 people waits for first birth of a boy for nearly a DECADE", Daily Mail










share|improve this question









New contributor



J. Doe is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.











German media has reported that a village in Poland has had only girls born for the last decade:




The head of the parish promises a reward, the Catholic village priest asks for God's help: In the Polish village of 300 souls, Mistitz, no boys have been born for almost ten years.




Source: "Mistitz in Polen – Dorf ohne Jungen", tagesschau Stand: 17.08.2019 11:43



How is that possible that there are no boys born? Statistically, it seems to me to be nearly impossible. Is this real, or is it a publicity gag or something else?



English media has also reported on the village: "Girls only: Tiny Polish village of 300 people waits for first birth of a boy for nearly a DECADE", Daily Mail







human-reproduction birth






share|improve this question









New contributor



J. Doe is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.










share|improve this question









New contributor



J. Doe is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.








share|improve this question




share|improve this question








edited 4 hours ago









HDE 226868

6,2801 gold badge41 silver badges53 bronze badges




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asked 8 hours ago









J. DoeJ. Doe

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1056 bronze badges




New contributor



J. Doe is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
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Check out our Code of Conduct.












  • 3





    For most of us that can't understand German, could you please flesh out some details and a clear-cut verifiable claim from the article? And of course it'd be near impossible, raising suspicion, but not impossible.

    – M.A.R.
    8 hours ago






  • 2





    Is it statistically impossible? With my German, I couldn't find the number of births anywhere in the article. But the village population seems to be 300. So I'd guess at 25 kids, all female. The odds of that happening by chance in any one village is 1 in 2^25 or 1 in 33 million. But there are a couple of million villages in the world, so the odds of one somewhere with 25 consecutive female births is about 1 in 15 - and if there is one, that is the one that makes the news. Unlikely, but not impossible. And if in fact there have only been 20 births the odds are more like 1 in 2.

    – Jack B
    7 hours ago













  • 3





    For most of us that can't understand German, could you please flesh out some details and a clear-cut verifiable claim from the article? And of course it'd be near impossible, raising suspicion, but not impossible.

    – M.A.R.
    8 hours ago






  • 2





    Is it statistically impossible? With my German, I couldn't find the number of births anywhere in the article. But the village population seems to be 300. So I'd guess at 25 kids, all female. The odds of that happening by chance in any one village is 1 in 2^25 or 1 in 33 million. But there are a couple of million villages in the world, so the odds of one somewhere with 25 consecutive female births is about 1 in 15 - and if there is one, that is the one that makes the news. Unlikely, but not impossible. And if in fact there have only been 20 births the odds are more like 1 in 2.

    – Jack B
    7 hours ago








3




3





For most of us that can't understand German, could you please flesh out some details and a clear-cut verifiable claim from the article? And of course it'd be near impossible, raising suspicion, but not impossible.

– M.A.R.
8 hours ago





For most of us that can't understand German, could you please flesh out some details and a clear-cut verifiable claim from the article? And of course it'd be near impossible, raising suspicion, but not impossible.

– M.A.R.
8 hours ago




2




2





Is it statistically impossible? With my German, I couldn't find the number of births anywhere in the article. But the village population seems to be 300. So I'd guess at 25 kids, all female. The odds of that happening by chance in any one village is 1 in 2^25 or 1 in 33 million. But there are a couple of million villages in the world, so the odds of one somewhere with 25 consecutive female births is about 1 in 15 - and if there is one, that is the one that makes the news. Unlikely, but not impossible. And if in fact there have only been 20 births the odds are more like 1 in 2.

– Jack B
7 hours ago






Is it statistically impossible? With my German, I couldn't find the number of births anywhere in the article. But the village population seems to be 300. So I'd guess at 25 kids, all female. The odds of that happening by chance in any one village is 1 in 2^25 or 1 in 33 million. But there are a couple of million villages in the world, so the odds of one somewhere with 25 consecutive female births is about 1 in 15 - and if there is one, that is the one that makes the news. Unlikely, but not impossible. And if in fact there have only been 20 births the odds are more like 1 in 2.

– Jack B
7 hours ago











1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes


















11














It's not that surprising. The village is small (current population 272, according to the New York Times), and therefore there have only been a small number of births in the last decade. The New York Post writes that




According to birth records, there hasn’t been a boy born there since 2009, though 12 girls have come into the world in that time frame.




If the chance of a baby being a boy and the chance of a baby being a girl are equal, then the odds of 12 consecutive births all yielding girls is (1/2)12 = 0.0244%. That's small, but when you consider that there are many towns and villages in the world, it shouldn't be surprising that at some point, just from randomness, 12 girls are born in a row in a given town. The odds of the same thing happening with 12 boys (which would also be widely reported) are identical, so the odds of 12 consecutive babies having the same sex is 0.0488%. (The Daily Mail notes that in 2017, 207,000 boys were born in Poland, as were 196,000 girls, making the odds slightly lower.)



Of course, more than randomness could be at play; environmental or cultural factors could be responsible. The same New York Times article notes that




a retired doctor from central Poland . . . said that a baby’s sex depended on the woman’s diet, which should be rich in calcium if she wants to have a boy.




which implies that some sort of calcium deficiency could be responsible. While I can't speak to the effect of calcium in determining a baby's sex, and haven't found any evidence to support the claim, it's possible that maternal diet pre-conception (not post-conception, of course) can play a role. Several studies have claimed that the sex of a child can slightly be influenced by dietary factors:




  • Breakfast cereals, salt and potassium may increase the chances of having a boy (Mathews 2008))


  • A maternal high-fat diet may lead to more male offspring in mice (Mao et al. 2010)

I would like to note that these results, and others like them, only indicate that there may be some relationships between diet and the sex of a baby (and the latter study is only about mice!). I include them only to point out that if the people of Mistitz have an abnormal diet, this may affect their odds of producing baby boys. The Daily Mail article above mentions that scientists "have offered to conduct research to investigate the unique situation", and perhaps any environmental factors will be turned up if that research happens.






share|improve this answer






















  • 1





    To add a little more to the statistics... If odds of a run of 12 births being all female is (as correctly calculated in this answer) 1 in 4096. So if there are 2.5 million villages in the world, one would expect about 600 where this happened. There are probably a few in every major country.

    – Jack B
    5 hours ago






  • 2





    You should probably also add the odds of twelve boys in a row, since that would be equally reported as a coincidence. So the chance is 1 in 2048.

    – gnasher729
    3 hours ago











  • @gnasher729 Good suggestion! Thanks.

    – HDE 226868
    3 hours ago




















1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes








1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes









active

oldest

votes






active

oldest

votes









11














It's not that surprising. The village is small (current population 272, according to the New York Times), and therefore there have only been a small number of births in the last decade. The New York Post writes that




According to birth records, there hasn’t been a boy born there since 2009, though 12 girls have come into the world in that time frame.




If the chance of a baby being a boy and the chance of a baby being a girl are equal, then the odds of 12 consecutive births all yielding girls is (1/2)12 = 0.0244%. That's small, but when you consider that there are many towns and villages in the world, it shouldn't be surprising that at some point, just from randomness, 12 girls are born in a row in a given town. The odds of the same thing happening with 12 boys (which would also be widely reported) are identical, so the odds of 12 consecutive babies having the same sex is 0.0488%. (The Daily Mail notes that in 2017, 207,000 boys were born in Poland, as were 196,000 girls, making the odds slightly lower.)



Of course, more than randomness could be at play; environmental or cultural factors could be responsible. The same New York Times article notes that




a retired doctor from central Poland . . . said that a baby’s sex depended on the woman’s diet, which should be rich in calcium if she wants to have a boy.




which implies that some sort of calcium deficiency could be responsible. While I can't speak to the effect of calcium in determining a baby's sex, and haven't found any evidence to support the claim, it's possible that maternal diet pre-conception (not post-conception, of course) can play a role. Several studies have claimed that the sex of a child can slightly be influenced by dietary factors:




  • Breakfast cereals, salt and potassium may increase the chances of having a boy (Mathews 2008))


  • A maternal high-fat diet may lead to more male offspring in mice (Mao et al. 2010)

I would like to note that these results, and others like them, only indicate that there may be some relationships between diet and the sex of a baby (and the latter study is only about mice!). I include them only to point out that if the people of Mistitz have an abnormal diet, this may affect their odds of producing baby boys. The Daily Mail article above mentions that scientists "have offered to conduct research to investigate the unique situation", and perhaps any environmental factors will be turned up if that research happens.






share|improve this answer






















  • 1





    To add a little more to the statistics... If odds of a run of 12 births being all female is (as correctly calculated in this answer) 1 in 4096. So if there are 2.5 million villages in the world, one would expect about 600 where this happened. There are probably a few in every major country.

    – Jack B
    5 hours ago






  • 2





    You should probably also add the odds of twelve boys in a row, since that would be equally reported as a coincidence. So the chance is 1 in 2048.

    – gnasher729
    3 hours ago











  • @gnasher729 Good suggestion! Thanks.

    – HDE 226868
    3 hours ago















11














It's not that surprising. The village is small (current population 272, according to the New York Times), and therefore there have only been a small number of births in the last decade. The New York Post writes that




According to birth records, there hasn’t been a boy born there since 2009, though 12 girls have come into the world in that time frame.




If the chance of a baby being a boy and the chance of a baby being a girl are equal, then the odds of 12 consecutive births all yielding girls is (1/2)12 = 0.0244%. That's small, but when you consider that there are many towns and villages in the world, it shouldn't be surprising that at some point, just from randomness, 12 girls are born in a row in a given town. The odds of the same thing happening with 12 boys (which would also be widely reported) are identical, so the odds of 12 consecutive babies having the same sex is 0.0488%. (The Daily Mail notes that in 2017, 207,000 boys were born in Poland, as were 196,000 girls, making the odds slightly lower.)



Of course, more than randomness could be at play; environmental or cultural factors could be responsible. The same New York Times article notes that




a retired doctor from central Poland . . . said that a baby’s sex depended on the woman’s diet, which should be rich in calcium if she wants to have a boy.




which implies that some sort of calcium deficiency could be responsible. While I can't speak to the effect of calcium in determining a baby's sex, and haven't found any evidence to support the claim, it's possible that maternal diet pre-conception (not post-conception, of course) can play a role. Several studies have claimed that the sex of a child can slightly be influenced by dietary factors:




  • Breakfast cereals, salt and potassium may increase the chances of having a boy (Mathews 2008))


  • A maternal high-fat diet may lead to more male offspring in mice (Mao et al. 2010)

I would like to note that these results, and others like them, only indicate that there may be some relationships between diet and the sex of a baby (and the latter study is only about mice!). I include them only to point out that if the people of Mistitz have an abnormal diet, this may affect their odds of producing baby boys. The Daily Mail article above mentions that scientists "have offered to conduct research to investigate the unique situation", and perhaps any environmental factors will be turned up if that research happens.






share|improve this answer






















  • 1





    To add a little more to the statistics... If odds of a run of 12 births being all female is (as correctly calculated in this answer) 1 in 4096. So if there are 2.5 million villages in the world, one would expect about 600 where this happened. There are probably a few in every major country.

    – Jack B
    5 hours ago






  • 2





    You should probably also add the odds of twelve boys in a row, since that would be equally reported as a coincidence. So the chance is 1 in 2048.

    – gnasher729
    3 hours ago











  • @gnasher729 Good suggestion! Thanks.

    – HDE 226868
    3 hours ago













11












11








11







It's not that surprising. The village is small (current population 272, according to the New York Times), and therefore there have only been a small number of births in the last decade. The New York Post writes that




According to birth records, there hasn’t been a boy born there since 2009, though 12 girls have come into the world in that time frame.




If the chance of a baby being a boy and the chance of a baby being a girl are equal, then the odds of 12 consecutive births all yielding girls is (1/2)12 = 0.0244%. That's small, but when you consider that there are many towns and villages in the world, it shouldn't be surprising that at some point, just from randomness, 12 girls are born in a row in a given town. The odds of the same thing happening with 12 boys (which would also be widely reported) are identical, so the odds of 12 consecutive babies having the same sex is 0.0488%. (The Daily Mail notes that in 2017, 207,000 boys were born in Poland, as were 196,000 girls, making the odds slightly lower.)



Of course, more than randomness could be at play; environmental or cultural factors could be responsible. The same New York Times article notes that




a retired doctor from central Poland . . . said that a baby’s sex depended on the woman’s diet, which should be rich in calcium if she wants to have a boy.




which implies that some sort of calcium deficiency could be responsible. While I can't speak to the effect of calcium in determining a baby's sex, and haven't found any evidence to support the claim, it's possible that maternal diet pre-conception (not post-conception, of course) can play a role. Several studies have claimed that the sex of a child can slightly be influenced by dietary factors:




  • Breakfast cereals, salt and potassium may increase the chances of having a boy (Mathews 2008))


  • A maternal high-fat diet may lead to more male offspring in mice (Mao et al. 2010)

I would like to note that these results, and others like them, only indicate that there may be some relationships between diet and the sex of a baby (and the latter study is only about mice!). I include them only to point out that if the people of Mistitz have an abnormal diet, this may affect their odds of producing baby boys. The Daily Mail article above mentions that scientists "have offered to conduct research to investigate the unique situation", and perhaps any environmental factors will be turned up if that research happens.






share|improve this answer















It's not that surprising. The village is small (current population 272, according to the New York Times), and therefore there have only been a small number of births in the last decade. The New York Post writes that




According to birth records, there hasn’t been a boy born there since 2009, though 12 girls have come into the world in that time frame.




If the chance of a baby being a boy and the chance of a baby being a girl are equal, then the odds of 12 consecutive births all yielding girls is (1/2)12 = 0.0244%. That's small, but when you consider that there are many towns and villages in the world, it shouldn't be surprising that at some point, just from randomness, 12 girls are born in a row in a given town. The odds of the same thing happening with 12 boys (which would also be widely reported) are identical, so the odds of 12 consecutive babies having the same sex is 0.0488%. (The Daily Mail notes that in 2017, 207,000 boys were born in Poland, as were 196,000 girls, making the odds slightly lower.)



Of course, more than randomness could be at play; environmental or cultural factors could be responsible. The same New York Times article notes that




a retired doctor from central Poland . . . said that a baby’s sex depended on the woman’s diet, which should be rich in calcium if she wants to have a boy.




which implies that some sort of calcium deficiency could be responsible. While I can't speak to the effect of calcium in determining a baby's sex, and haven't found any evidence to support the claim, it's possible that maternal diet pre-conception (not post-conception, of course) can play a role. Several studies have claimed that the sex of a child can slightly be influenced by dietary factors:




  • Breakfast cereals, salt and potassium may increase the chances of having a boy (Mathews 2008))


  • A maternal high-fat diet may lead to more male offspring in mice (Mao et al. 2010)

I would like to note that these results, and others like them, only indicate that there may be some relationships between diet and the sex of a baby (and the latter study is only about mice!). I include them only to point out that if the people of Mistitz have an abnormal diet, this may affect their odds of producing baby boys. The Daily Mail article above mentions that scientists "have offered to conduct research to investigate the unique situation", and perhaps any environmental factors will be turned up if that research happens.







share|improve this answer














share|improve this answer



share|improve this answer








edited 3 hours ago

























answered 7 hours ago









HDE 226868HDE 226868

6,2801 gold badge41 silver badges53 bronze badges




6,2801 gold badge41 silver badges53 bronze badges










  • 1





    To add a little more to the statistics... If odds of a run of 12 births being all female is (as correctly calculated in this answer) 1 in 4096. So if there are 2.5 million villages in the world, one would expect about 600 where this happened. There are probably a few in every major country.

    – Jack B
    5 hours ago






  • 2





    You should probably also add the odds of twelve boys in a row, since that would be equally reported as a coincidence. So the chance is 1 in 2048.

    – gnasher729
    3 hours ago











  • @gnasher729 Good suggestion! Thanks.

    – HDE 226868
    3 hours ago












  • 1





    To add a little more to the statistics... If odds of a run of 12 births being all female is (as correctly calculated in this answer) 1 in 4096. So if there are 2.5 million villages in the world, one would expect about 600 where this happened. There are probably a few in every major country.

    – Jack B
    5 hours ago






  • 2





    You should probably also add the odds of twelve boys in a row, since that would be equally reported as a coincidence. So the chance is 1 in 2048.

    – gnasher729
    3 hours ago











  • @gnasher729 Good suggestion! Thanks.

    – HDE 226868
    3 hours ago







1




1





To add a little more to the statistics... If odds of a run of 12 births being all female is (as correctly calculated in this answer) 1 in 4096. So if there are 2.5 million villages in the world, one would expect about 600 where this happened. There are probably a few in every major country.

– Jack B
5 hours ago





To add a little more to the statistics... If odds of a run of 12 births being all female is (as correctly calculated in this answer) 1 in 4096. So if there are 2.5 million villages in the world, one would expect about 600 where this happened. There are probably a few in every major country.

– Jack B
5 hours ago




2




2





You should probably also add the odds of twelve boys in a row, since that would be equally reported as a coincidence. So the chance is 1 in 2048.

– gnasher729
3 hours ago





You should probably also add the odds of twelve boys in a row, since that would be equally reported as a coincidence. So the chance is 1 in 2048.

– gnasher729
3 hours ago













@gnasher729 Good suggestion! Thanks.

– HDE 226868
3 hours ago





@gnasher729 Good suggestion! Thanks.

– HDE 226868
3 hours ago



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Кастелфранко ди Сопра Становништво Референце Спољашње везе Мени за навигацију43°37′18″ СГШ; 11°33′32″ ИГД / 43.62156° СГШ; 11.55885° ИГД / 43.62156; 11.5588543°37′18″ СГШ; 11°33′32″ ИГД / 43.62156° СГШ; 11.55885° ИГД / 43.62156; 11.558853179688„The GeoNames geographical database”„Istituto Nazionale di Statistica”проширитиууWorldCat156923403n850174324558639-1cb14643287r(подаци)